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The Model 3 sells 25,000/year.These cases are based on actual demand over the last three years for the entire market that the Model 3 is competing in. As most estimates assume a ramp of 5,000 cars a week sometime in 2018 that's 250,000 cars a year. Even at that level there will be quite a bit of excess supply in all but the absolute best case sales scenarios.Many assumed the Model 3 was the car for the masses and we will soon see it on the best selling lists.
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