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If gross margins improve to 35.6% again and SG decreases by 1% each year via cost cutting) (including the effect of the store closures), then Adjusted EBITDA would be a similar $839 million in 2020. Penney can likely tread water with 1% comps and cost cutting, but even with $300 million in combined debt reduction in 2019 and 2020, its common shares would only be worth around $4.50 in 2020 at that same 5.5x EV/EBITDA multiple. Penney can't at least maintain flat or better comps though.
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