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Sign in / Join NowSummaryA review of the A B C D "movie plot line" with the Federal Reserve lowering and then raising interest rates that has been followed twice before by asset bubbles popping.Analysis of the amplification that has been occurring, with new lows in interest rates being eventually followed by larger market losses.Consideration of sequence of returns risk, as well as some potential implications for the national debt and Social Security.Movies can have quite predictable plot lines that we know in advance but we love them anyway. It could be a romance, where the girl is going to end up with the right guy through a series of improbable events, even though that looks impossible to begin with. It could be an action movie, where our tough and underestimated hero overcomes seemingly impossible odds to just barely win in the end, after all.There are movies that play over and over again in the financial markets and the economy as well, and while the particulars change, the plots can repeat themselves.In this analysis, we are going to take a look at a market "movie" that has played out twice in the modern era, and follow the A B C D plot line that was followed in each case.

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