User:MalissaAndrew28
We consider RSI(14) below 40 as an oversold market signal; at the time of writing, March 23, 2018, it is around 35.For more information about the filtering logic, please see here. We have also filtered out the recessionary environment when the half year rate of change of the Conference Board Leading Economic Index was below 2% (we only consider healthy economic periods).Obviously, the difference between the fair and market prices is huge it actually constitutes the expected profit of a seller and the expected loss of a buyer (see the lower diagram). It is not guaranteed, of course, and the market can continue its way down and entail a loss for an option seller ("buying the dip" does not work out in 100% of cases).However, on the basis of historical data, it is very unlikely.
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